For the uninitiated, the Football Power Index — generally known as the FPI — is our score and projection mannequin for NFL teams. We use group rankings to simulate the season hundreds of instances, creating our projections, which update daily through the season. Game predictions are additionally informed by factors similar to travel, relaxation differential and changes at starting quarterback.
- We use group ratings to simulate the season 1000’s of instances, creating our projections, which update daily through the season.
- The Vikings have a 29% shot at the division, with the Chicago Bears (16%) and Green Bay Packers (12%) lurking behind.
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- The protection ranked eighth in EPA per play last season, and Wilson was top-10 in QBR just two years in the past.
That’s a big reason Philadelphia leads Kansas City in Super Bowl chances, 14% to 13%. The 49ers, Bills and Bengals round out the top 5, while the Dallas Cowboys are the only different team above 5% (7%). Offense is extra stable year-to-year than defense, and the Chiefs led the league in expected factors added per play last season by a wide margin. They are additionally returning their two most necessary elements in Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid. Offensively, they’re just too good, and that alone is sufficient to put the Super Bowl champs back atop the league to start this coming season.
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